Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

South Alabama wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
257
257 lifetime
Open interest
257
Spread
2¢
125 × 2,539 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 61¢
NO bid / ask
39¢ / 41¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask34668¢
  • ask25767¢
  • ask25866¢
  • ask16465¢
  • ask10964¢
  • ask1,06063¢
  • ask1,38662¢
  • ask2,53961¢
spread2¢mid 60¢
  • bid12559¢
  • bid96358¢
  • bid2,05457¢
  • bid1,18756¢
  • bid2555¢
  • bid5654¢
  • bid2553¢
  • bid552¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If South Alabama wins by more than 2.5 points in the Jacksonville St. vs South Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 4 · 11:09 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05JVSTUSA-USA3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago60¢2bought no
54m ago60¢41bought yes
2h ago57¢6.7bought no
3h ago57¢8bought yes
3h ago57¢80bought yes
3h ago56¢10bought yes
3h ago55¢10bought yes
3h ago52¢10bought no
4h ago54¢45bought yes
4h ago54¢45bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.