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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Illinois wins by over 41.5 points

24h volume
100
100 lifetime
Open interest
100
Spread
11¢
61 × 1 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 15¢
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 86¢
24h low 15¢24h high 15¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6235¢
  • ask5031¢
  • ask1330¢
  • ask1929¢
  • ask1728¢
  • ask1527¢
  • ask626¢
  • ask125¢
spread11¢mid 20¢
  • bid6114¢
  • bid8213¢
  • bid7512¢
  • bid9411¢
  • bid25910¢
  • bid437¢
  • bid506¢
  • bid224¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Illinois wins by more than 41.5 points in the Penn vs Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:10 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
41.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05PENNILL-ILL42
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago15¢17bought yes
3h ago15¢8bought yes
3h ago15¢25bought yes
3h ago15¢25bought yes
3h ago15¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.