Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

SMU wins by over 40.5 points

24h volume: 100; 100 lifetime
Open interest: 100
Spread: 5¢; 296 × 1 at the touch
24h range: 7¢ – 7¢; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

93%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask

5¢ / 10¢

NO bid / ask

90¢ / 95¢

24h low 7¢24h high 7¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If SMU wins by more than 40.5 points in the VMI vs SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Nov 4 · 11:08 PM UTC
closes: Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor: 40.5
ticker: KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05VMISMU-SMU41

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
3h ago	7¢	25	bought yes
3h ago	7¢	25	bought yes
3h ago	7¢	25	bought yes
3h ago	7¢	25	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.