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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Vanderbilt wins by over 17.5 points

24h volume
716
716 lifetime
Open interest
421
+421 over 7d
Spread
2¢
2,152 × 15 at the touch
24h range
48¢ – 51¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
49%

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
51%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 51¢
24h low 48¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢volNov 5, 1:00 AMNov 5, 6:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,50161¢
  • ask6060¢
  • ask2657¢
  • ask3,16655¢
  • ask1,96454¢
  • ask11.1k53¢
  • ask4,28252¢
  • ask1551¢
spread2¢mid 50¢
  • bid2,15249¢
  • bid2,77948¢
  • bid10.7k47¢
  • bid1,32046¢
  • bid1,28945¢
  • bid1,69844¢
  • bid2542¢
  • bid1,56039¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vanderbilt wins by more than 17.5 points in the Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
floor
17.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05WAKEVAN-VAN18
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26m ago49¢0.18bought no
38m ago51¢240bought yes
54m ago51¢9.47bought yes
59m ago48¢18bought no
1h ago51¢38bought yes
1h ago48¢19bought no
2h ago48¢36bought no
2h ago51¢0.03bought yes
2h ago49¢17bought yes
2h ago51¢31bought yes
2h ago49¢30bought yes
2h ago48¢9bought no
2h ago49¢3.93bought yes
3h ago48¢74bought no
4h ago48¢93bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.