galdor.xyz
Admin
Norwegian Cruise Line KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.15 million passengers carried in 2026?

YES means Above 3.15 million

24h volume
0
10.7k lifetime
Open interest
1,583
+1,583 over 90d
Spread
8¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 14¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volJun 25Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20095¢
  • ask594¢
spread8¢mid 90¢
  • bid586¢
  • bid20085¢
  • bid560¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3150000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3150000
ticker
KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3150000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago93¢4bought no
3d ago92¢111bought no
3d ago94¢5bought no
9d ago95¢200bought yes
9d ago95¢1bought yes
9d ago94¢3bought yes
16d ago88¢200bought yes
16d ago86¢15bought yes
17d ago85¢200bought no
20d ago90¢5bought no
20d ago89¢200bought no
29d ago89¢200bought no
29d ago90¢5bought no
1mo ago90¢200bought no
1mo ago89¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.