Norwegian Cruise Line KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.25 million passengers carried in 2026?

YES means Above 3.25 million

24h volume
0
19.2k lifetime
Open interest
1,863
+1,863 over 90d
Spread
5 × 15 at the touch
24h range
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 24¢

YES bid / ask
76¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 24¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volJun 25Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20085¢
  • ask1584¢
spreadmid 80¢
  • bid576¢
  • bid20075¢
  • bid10062¢
  • bid1260¢
  • bid99
  • bid2,451
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3250000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3250000
ticker
KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3250000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago88¢61bought no
16d ago73¢100bought no
17d ago75¢200bought no
19d ago82¢100bought no
19d ago80¢200bought no
20d ago83¢100bought no
20d ago84¢5bought no
27d ago79¢100bought no
28d ago80¢200bought no
28d ago84¢100bought no
28d ago85¢5bought no
1mo ago84¢200bought no
1mo ago84¢200bought no
1mo ago85¢5bought no
1mo ago94¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.