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Norwegian Cruise Line KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 3.3 million passengers carried in 2026?

YES means Above 3.3 million

24h volume
0
15.7k lifetime
Open interest
1,833
+0 over 24h
Spread
9¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
78%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
22%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 29¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 11:11 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20080¢
spread9¢mid 76¢
  • bid571¢
  • bid20070¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3300000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3300000
ticker
KXNCLHA-28JANPAX-3300000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21d ago78¢200bought no
28d ago77¢200bought no
2mo ago90¢200bought no
2mo ago91¢5bought no
2mo ago93¢66bought yes
2mo ago92¢5bought yes
2mo ago91¢5bought yes
2mo ago89¢5bought no
2mo ago87¢200bought no
2mo ago89¢5bought no
2mo ago87¢500bought no
2mo ago88¢32bought no
2mo ago86¢250bought yes
2mo ago82¢250bought yes
2mo ago81¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.