Near Max Year·closed · YES

Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $3.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $3.50

24h volume
0
718 lifetime
Open interest
425
+110 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 3.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Sep 18 · 1:04 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-350
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago90¢2.23bought no
3d ago90¢5bought yes
3d ago30¢45bought no
3d ago97¢31bought yes
3d ago75¢0.01bought yes
3d ago75¢57bought yes
3d ago75¢73bought yes
3d ago74¢47bought yes
3d ago74¢52bought yes
3d ago60¢7bought no
3d ago74¢0.01bought yes
3d ago73¢0.21bought yes
3d ago44¢0.68bought yes
3d ago45¢1.09bought yes
3d ago44¢4.32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.