KXNEARMAXY·closed · YES

Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $4.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $4.00

24h volume
166
3,597 lifetime
Open interest
1,858
+1,321 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 98¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
98%+15

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
2%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 98¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 8:44 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
4
ticker
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-400
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago98¢13bought yes
9h ago97¢28bought yes
10h ago98¢8bought yes
10h ago97¢28bought yes
10h ago98¢8bought yes
13h ago96¢54bought yes
13h ago95¢1.06bought yes
13h ago95¢3.94bought yes
13h ago95¢11bought yes
13h ago95¢8.83bought yes
13h ago95¢2.59bought yes
1d ago83¢2.18bought no
1d ago83¢2.09bought no
1d ago95¢2.09bought yes
1d ago90¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.