Near Max Year·closes in 3mo

Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $4.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $4.50

24h volume
2,850
4,582 lifetime
Open interest
3,367
+2,386 over 24h
Spread
100 × 400 at the touch
24h range
74¢ – 91¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%+25

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 10¢

YES bid / ask
90¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
/ 10¢
24h low 74¢24h high 91¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 7:06 AMSep 21, 6:40 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5399¢
  • ask40096¢
spreadmid 93¢
  • bid10090¢
  • bid5648¢
  • bid547¢
  • bid2545¢
  • bid6212¢
  • bid250
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-450
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago91¢200bought yes
2h ago91¢83bought yes
2h ago90¢40bought yes
3h ago90¢0.01bought yes
3h ago90¢109bought yes
3h ago90¢0.01bought yes
3h ago90¢543bought yes
3h ago88¢200bought yes
3h ago88¢22bought yes
3h ago90¢0.01bought yes
3h ago87¢133bought yes
3h ago87¢133bought yes
3h ago89¢61bought yes
3h ago90¢226bought yes
3h ago89¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.