Near Max Year·closes in 3mo

Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $5.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $5.00

24h volume
0.21
2,012 lifetime
Open interest
1,466
+0.21 over 24h
Spread
73¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
73¢ – 73¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
73%+35

A YES contract costs 82¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
27%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 82¢
NO bid / ask
18¢ / 91¢
24h low 73¢24h high 73¢
Recent buying15% YES · 85% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 7:03 AMSep 21, 1:51 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10399¢
  • ask2,00098¢
  • ask10087¢
  • ask3086¢
  • ask1584¢
  • ask582¢
spread73¢mid 46¢
  • bid5
  • bid5
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 5.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
5
ticker
KXNEARMAXY-NEAR-26DEC31-500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago73¢0.21bought yes
3d ago38¢0.21bought no
3d ago40¢0.21bought yes
3d ago18¢5bought yes
3d ago16¢10bought no
3d ago16¢10bought no
14d ago5bought no
14d ago1bought no
15d ago24¢6bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.1bought yes
1mo ago21¢100bought no
1mo ago24¢200bought yes
1mo ago24¢11bought yes
1mo ago15¢0.1bought yes
1mo ago18¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.