Near Min Year·closes in 3mo

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $1.00

24h volume
0
3,603 lifetime
Open interest
1,802
+1,802 over 90d
Spread
17¢
7 × 5 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 60¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 85¢
24h low 14¢24h high 60¢
Recent buying16% YES · 84% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 29Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
1
ticker
KXNEARMINY-NEAR-26DEC31-100
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 16% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago16¢2.89bought no
2d ago33¢2.89bought yes
2d ago25¢148bought no
2d ago27¢166bought no
2d ago29¢188bought no
2d ago31¢10bought no
2d ago31¢183bought no
2d ago32¢128bought no
2d ago32¢19bought no
2d ago33¢19bought no
2d ago33¢88bought no
2d ago28¢50bought no
2d ago28¢50bought no
3d ago32¢15bought no
4d ago38¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.