Near Min Year·closes in 3mo

Will NEAR trimmed mean be below $1.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $1.50

24h volume
37
1,895 lifetime
Open interest
553
+553 over 30d
Spread
100 × 130 at the touch
24h range
62¢ – 62¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
62%19

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
38%

costs 32¢

YES bid / ask
68¢ / 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 32¢
24h low 62¢24h high 62¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4599¢
  • ask1498¢
  • ask1.2195¢
  • ask1293¢
  • ask6.2391¢
  • ask2,01090¢
  • ask13073¢
spreadmid 71¢
  • bid10068¢
  • bid2,00040¢
  • bid4315¢
  • bid25114¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $1.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
1.5
ticker
KXNEARMINY-NEAR-26DEC31-150
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago62¢37bought no
1d ago81¢1.21bought yes
1d ago66¢1.23bought no
1d ago64¢2.31bought no
2d ago62¢12bought no
2d ago62¢88bought no
2d ago56¢50bought no
2d ago56¢50bought no
2d ago67¢39bought no
2d ago67¢88bought no
2d ago62¢50bought no
2d ago62¢50bought no
2d ago88¢8.57bought no
2d ago81¢37bought yes
2d ago62¢7.85bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.