Who will the next Pope be?
YES means Pietro Parolin
- 24h volume
- 0
- 25.5k lifetime
- Open interest
- 5,060
- Spread
- 2¢
- 767 × 72 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Pietro Parolin becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jul 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2070 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2070 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 6¢ | 0.86 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 4¢ | 12 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 6¢ | 24 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 6¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 21d ago | 6¢ | 323 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 4¢ | 81 | bought no |
| 22d ago | 6¢ | 1.93 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 6¢ | 79 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 6¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 81 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 99 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 73 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 172 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 25 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.