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Goldman Sachs new CEO ·closes in 113mo

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

YES means Ashok Varadhan

24h volume
0
93 lifetime
Open interest
45
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
20 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 17Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask4698¢
  • ask44486¢
  • ask91385¢
  • ask226¢
  • ask2006¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid201¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ashok Varadhan is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-AVA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 91¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago6¢2bought yes
20d ago6¢1bought yes
20d ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢6bought no
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢3bought no
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago5¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.