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Goldman Sachs new CEO ·closes in 113mo

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

YES means John Waldron

24h volume
0
860 lifetime
Open interest
257
+0 over 7d
Spread
8¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 41¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 17Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10098¢
  • ask5197¢
  • ask63096¢
  • ask20067¢
spread8¢mid 63¢
  • bid20059¢
  • bid2,1413¢
  • bid3,4831¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John Waldron is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-JWA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 91¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago59¢8.69bought no
12d ago67¢8.69bought yes
20d ago60¢2bought yes
20d ago60¢2bought yes
23d ago53¢28bought no
24d ago53¢5bought no
24d ago59¢200bought no
25d ago59¢5.76bought no
26d ago60¢4.24bought no
1mo ago67¢10bought yes
1mo ago60¢0.76bought no
2mo ago57¢4bought no
2mo ago58¢2bought no
2mo ago64¢1bought yes
2mo ago63¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.