JP Morgan Chase new CEO ·closes in 113mo

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

YES means Mary Erdoes

24h volume
0
566 lifetime
Open interest
542
Spread
500 × 500 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/ 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 95¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask5,00095¢
  • ask50013¢
spreadmid
  • bid500
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mary Erdoes is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
May 8 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MER
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago2bought no
1mo ago12¢2bought no
1mo ago13¢2bought no
1mo ago14¢1bought yes
2mo ago14¢6bought yes
2mo ago14¢4bought yes
2mo ago14¢2bought yes
2mo ago11¢300bought yes
2mo ago11¢1bought yes
2mo ago10¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.