JP Morgan Chase new CEO ·closes in 113mo

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase?

YES means Marianne Lake

24h volume
0
5,023 lifetime
Open interest
728
+0 over 7d
Spread
50 × 21 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask5295¢
  • ask5,00094¢
  • ask50011¢
  • ask21
spreadmid
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Marianne Lake is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for JP Morgan Chase before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
May 8 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEJP-35DEC-MLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago71bought no
1mo ago8bought no
1mo ago10¢1bought yes
2mo ago26bought no
2mo ago11¢8bought yes
2mo ago25bought no
2mo ago4.97bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.