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Next Atlanta Fed president?·closes in 40mo

Will Marc Sumerlin be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030?

YES means Marc Sumerlin

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 24h
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 82¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask71687¢
  • ask20086¢
  • ask20028¢
spread10¢mid 23¢
  • bid20018¢
  • bid2902¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Marc Sumerlin formally holds the position of President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 8 · 11:03 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTATLFED-30JAN01-MSUM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 14¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.