galdor.xyz
Admin
Next DNC chair?·closes in 223mo

Will Malcolm Kenyatta be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

YES means Malcolm Kenyatta

24h volume
0
26 lifetime
Open interest
25
Spread
1¢
0 × 7 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask199¢
  • ask44¢
  • ask71¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Malcolm Kenyatta formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chair of the Democratic National Committee in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 27 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 8, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXNEXTDNCCHAIR-45-MKEN
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 166¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 16 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢1bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.