Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?
YES means Martin O’Malley
- 24h volume
- 0
- 85 lifetime
- Open interest
- 11
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 75¢
- 1 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 91¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20084¢
- bid19¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Martin O’Malley formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2045, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Chair of the Democratic National Committee" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Chair of the Democratic National Committee in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- The Washington Post
- The Source Agencies are
- in hierarchical order
- Fox News
- MSNBC
- ABC
- the New York Times
- Bloomberg News
- The Wall Street Journal
- Financial Times
- ABC News Australia
- NBC
- the Associated Press
- CNBC
- <organization>
- agency
- Reuters
- BBC News
- Deutsche Welle
- the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held
- CNN
- <company>
- CBS
- Politico
- opened
- May 27 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 8, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTDNCCHAIR-45-MOMA
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 17¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 17¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.