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Next hurricane date·closed · YES

When will the next hurricane form?

YES means Before Oct 15, 2026

24h volume
0
47.8k lifetime
Open interest
30.4k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 74mph) forms in the Atlantic before Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 13 · 2:53 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTHURDATE-26DEC01-26OCT15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago99¢50bought no
24d ago99¢94bought no
24d ago98¢50bought no
24d ago97¢25bought no
24d ago97¢103bought no
24d ago97¢1,433bought no
24d ago97¢500bought no
24d ago96¢51bought no
24d ago98¢1,115bought no
24d ago98¢348bought no
24d ago98¢25bought no
24d ago98¢1,058bought no
24d ago98¢2,218bought no
24d ago98¢53bought no
24d ago99¢2,222bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.