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Next hurricane date·closed · NO

When will the next hurricane form?

YES means Before Sep 15, 2026

24h volume
0
7,981 lifetime
Open interest
5,580
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 74mph) forms in the Atlantic before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 15 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTHURDATE-26DEC01-26SEP15
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago1¢68bought yes
2mo ago1¢39bought yes
2mo ago1¢50bought yes
2mo ago1¢5bought no
2mo ago3¢102bought yes
2mo ago3¢49bought yes
2mo ago3¢5bought yes
2mo ago3¢25bought yes
2mo ago3¢1.21bought yes
2mo ago3¢5bought yes
2mo ago1¢6.37bought yes
2mo ago1¢1,000bought no
2mo ago2¢1bought no
2mo ago3¢1bought no
2mo ago4¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.