Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
YES means Riley Moore
- 24h volume
- 0
- 5,444 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,988
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 0 × 300 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Riley Moore before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- opened
- Jun 9 · 4:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-RMOO
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 5.42 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 2¢ | 59 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 87 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.