Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?
YES means Petr Pavel
- 24h volume
- 0
- 651 lifetime
- Open interest
- 70
- Spread
- 7¢
- 248 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 34 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask7,74097¢
- ask69383¢
- ask10082¢
- ask32948¢
- ask43947¢
- ask12244¢
- ask2129¢
- ask58¢
- bid2481¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Petr Pavel formally holds the position of Secretary General of NATO, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, "formally holds Secretary General of NATO" means that an individual, company, or group has assumed Secretary General of NATO in an official capacity—whether by appointment, election, succession, confirmation, designation, or acting/interim assignment—and has performed or is recognized to perform the duties or responsibilities of that role for any length of time after Issuance.
- opened
- Jun 29 · 7:47 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 8, 2099 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2099 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTNATOSECGEN-99-PPAV
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 34 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 5¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 5¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 0.13 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 7¢ | 0.13 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 9.56 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 6¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 8¢ | 5.75 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 8¢ | 10 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.