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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Anna Kelly

24h volume
7,605
434.0k lifetime
Open interest
194.4k
+11.3k over 7d
Spread
2¢
28 × 22 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 22¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%+3

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 83¢
24h low 11¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55026¢
  • ask25925¢
  • ask21124¢
  • ask5,33323¢
  • ask2,50022¢
  • ask3,20321¢
  • ask2,66720¢
  • ask2219¢
spread2¢mid 18¢
  • bid2817¢
  • bid47316¢
  • bid10915¢
  • bid77414¢
  • bid7613¢
  • bid62012¢
  • bid32811¢
  • bid58310¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Anna Kelly, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 12 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AKEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 112¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago19¢7.95bought yes
6m ago19¢2.01bought yes
10m ago19¢22bought yes
10m ago19¢4.34bought yes
10m ago19¢19bought yes
10m ago19¢3.77bought yes
19m ago19¢25bought yes
1h ago19¢20bought yes
1h ago19¢4.98bought yes
1h ago19¢0.54bought yes
1h ago19¢13bought yes
1h ago19¢36bought yes
2h ago19¢0.44bought yes
2h ago18¢4.75bought yes
2h ago17¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.