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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Anna Kelly

24h volume
7,609
434.0k lifetime
Open interest
194.4k
Spread
2¢
362 × 72 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 19¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%+3

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 83¢
24h low 14¢24h high 19¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55026¢
  • ask25925¢
  • ask19424¢
  • ask5,33323¢
  • ask2,50022¢
  • ask3,20321¢
  • ask2,66720¢
  • ask7219¢
spread2¢mid 18¢
  • bid36217¢
  • bid41416¢
  • bid1,07515¢
  • bid36414¢
  • bid2113¢
  • bid9812¢
  • bid31011¢
  • bid58310¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Anna Kelly, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 12 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AKEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25m ago19¢2.67bought yes
25m ago19¢7.29bought yes
26m ago19¢2.06bought yes
26m ago19¢2.92bought yes
33m ago17¢0.07bought no
33m ago17¢7.75bought no
33m ago17¢15bought no
33m ago17¢5.48bought no
33m ago16¢9.99bought no
48m ago19¢7.95bought yes
48m ago19¢2.01bought yes
53m ago19¢22bought yes
53m ago19¢4.34bought yes
53m ago19¢19bought yes
53m ago19¢3.77bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.