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Who will be the next Romanian PM?·closes in 223mo

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YES means Alexandru Nazare

24h volume
532
8,722 lifetime
Open interest
1,874
+1,068 over 90d
Spread
18¢
6 × 6 at the touch
24h range
22¢ – 46¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%−16

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 78¢
24h low 22¢24h high 46¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask669¢
  • ask80068¢
  • ask6367¢
  • ask14457¢
  • ask15055¢
  • ask7644¢
  • ask243¢
  • ask640¢
spread18¢mid 31¢
  • bid622¢
  • bid7119¢
  • bid1018¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid115¢
  • bid15014¢
  • bid80013¢
  • bid4274¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Alexandru Nazare, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 25 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-ANAZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 174¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago40¢200bought no
1h ago41¢25bought no
1h ago30¢100bought no
8h ago46¢200bought no
8h ago22¢0.85bought no
8h ago28¢1bought no
17h ago46¢5bought no
1d ago46¢10bought no
2d ago45¢26bought no
2d ago47¢2bought no
2d ago46¢11bought no
2d ago47¢2bought yes
2d ago47¢5bought yes
2d ago67¢50bought yes
2d ago48¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.