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Who will be the next Romanian PM?·closes in 223mo

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YES means Eugen Tomac

24h volume
0
5,738 lifetime
Open interest
2,004
+0 over 24h
Spread
7¢
483 × 6 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 98¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 20, 4:18 AMSep 20, 11:09 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9599¢
  • ask98867¢
  • ask43366¢
  • ask7540¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask10023¢
  • ask20010¢
  • ask69¢
spread7¢mid 5¢
  • bid4832¢
  • bid851¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Eugen Tomac, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 18 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-ETOM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 166¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago8¢1bought yes
13d ago17¢5bought no
13d ago17¢2bought no
13d ago16¢200bought no
13d ago18¢71bought no
13d ago17¢5bought no
15d ago21¢200bought yes
15d ago18¢1bought yes
15d ago19¢75bought yes
15d ago16¢115bought yes
15d ago15¢5bought yes
15d ago15¢30bought yes
16d ago9¢69bought no
18d ago2¢16bought no
18d ago24¢43bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.