Who will be the next Romanian PM?·closes in 223mo

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

YES means George Simion

24h volume
0
1,498 lifetime
Open interest
847
+0 over 24h
Spread
24¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 100¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 4:29 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is George Simion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 5 · 6:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTROMANIAPM-45JAN01-GSIM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 174¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago79bought yes
2mo ago38bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.