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KXNEXTSTATE·closes in 28mo

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

YES means No other person

24h volume
0
2,388 lifetime
Open interest
734
Spread
1¢
188 × 185 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19087¢
  • ask20081¢
  • ask1,40780¢
  • ask79079¢
  • ask40578¢
  • ask5677¢
  • ask1,00060¢
  • ask18556¢
spread1¢mid 56¢
  • bid18855¢
  • bid1,00050¢
  • bid2649¢
  • bid1,10525¢
  • bid2020¢
  • bid334¢
  • bid453¢
  • bid3,7003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the next new Secretary of State before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes.

Acting and Interim positions don't count.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTSTATE-29-NONE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 93¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.