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Who will be the world's second trillionaire?·closes in 75mo

Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?

YES means Mark Zuckerberg

24h volume
0
10.3k lifetime
Open interest
1,255
Spread
2¢
130 × 217 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 83¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,40759¢
  • ask20050¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask40040¢
  • ask54239¢
  • ask32525¢
  • ask11024¢
  • ask21719¢
spread2¢mid 18¢
  • bid13017¢
  • bid5116¢
  • bid7415¢
  • bid15813¢
  • bid112¢
  • bid26310¢
  • bid3039¢
  • bid1886¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Forbes reports that Mark Zuckerberg has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-MZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago18¢5.22bought yes
7d ago18¢26bought yes
12d ago19¢4.78bought yes
15d ago20¢47bought yes
16d ago17¢0.76bought no
18d ago17¢25bought no
24d ago20¢19bought yes
24d ago20¢5bought yes
25d ago18¢53bought yes
26d ago19¢173bought yes
27d ago18¢42bought no
27d ago19¢16bought no
27d ago22¢50bought no
27d ago23¢50bought no
27d ago21¢3.55bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.