Professional Football Game·closed · NO

Washington wins

YES means Washington

24h volume
8.19M
8.43M lifetime
Open interest
5.33M
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%34

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

Buy NOhigh confidence

NO on Washington -- Dallas leads 17-10 and Washington's starter Jayden Daniels left with an elbow injury, making a comeback unlikely.

Market pays YES if Washington beats Dallas on Sep 20 2026. Dallas leads 17-10 past halftime, and Washington QB Jayden Daniels exited with an elbow injury in Q2. Kalshi's 15c YES price roughly matches fair win probability given the deficit and injury.

Galdor12%
band 7%18%
Market100%
edge vs market88 pts

Small size, about 0.05 of risk budget, on NO.

What the evidence says

  1. 1Dallas leads Washington 17-10 past halftimeESPN · 2026-09-20

How it resolves

Resolves YES if Washington wins the WAS-DAL game per NFL.com. Ties split 50/50. Postponement rules do not apply since game is underway.

What the tape says

Price dropped sharply intraday from 0.35 to a low of 0.09, now around 0.14 to 0.16 bid ask, tight spread, thin depth near touch, heavy volume from live repricing.

What would change this

  • Washington rallies late and wins
claude-sonnet-5effort medium225s2026-09-20 22:05 UTC

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Washington wins the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the team who wins the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 25 · 3:33 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 11:33 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 11:25 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLGAME-26SEP20WASDAL-WAS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago281bought yes
3h ago94bought yes
3h ago187bought yes
3h ago47bought yes
3h ago187bought yes
3h ago935bought yes
3h ago10bought yes
3h ago94bought yes
3h ago2,338bought yes
3h ago935bought yes
3h ago468bought yes
3h ago94bought yes
3h ago187bought yes
3h ago94bought yes
3h ago94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.