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AP Pro Football Regular Season MVP·closes in 15mo

Will Caleb Williams win the MVP?

YES means Caleb Williams

24h volume
46.5k
2.17M lifetime
Open interest
1.51M
Spread
1¢
2,762 × 4,596 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%+1

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7,79719¢
  • ask15.6k18¢
  • ask15117¢
  • ask9,38916¢
  • ask11.5k15¢
  • ask17.3k14¢
  • ask46.0k13¢
  • ask4,59612¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid2,76211¢
  • bid28.0k10¢
  • bid9,2289¢
  • bid1,2298¢
  • bid2,2887¢
  • bid4,3696¢
  • bid5135¢
  • bid1,1994¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Caleb Williams wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 8 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Feb 12, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 14, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLMVP-27-CWIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 146¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago12¢392bought yes
5m ago11¢100bought no
8m ago11¢3bought no
8m ago11¢1,341bought no
44m ago11¢36bought no
46m ago12¢118bought yes
54m ago12¢16bought yes
58m ago11¢1,115bought no
1h ago12¢140bought yes
1h ago12¢78bought yes
1h ago12¢196bought yes
2h ago11¢2,349bought no
2h ago12¢321bought yes
2h ago12¢12bought yes
2h ago11¢936bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.