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AP Pro Football Regular Season MVP·closes in 15mo

Will Josh Allen win the MVP?

YES means Josh Allen

Allen is alone at the top. Caleb Williams and Joe Burrow are next at 8¢; the market has moved off Williams (12¢ → 8¢) after Week 2.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
24.1k
1.63M lifetime
Open interest
1.15M
+936.7k over 90d
Spread
1¢
151 × 15.2k at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 32¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
32%+3

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
68%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
24h low 26¢24h high 32¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask43139¢
  • ask13.3k38¢
  • ask9,64637¢
  • ask5,24536¢
  • ask11.3k35¢
  • ask1,85334¢
  • ask3,33333¢
  • ask15.2k32¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid15131¢
  • bid20228¢
  • bid48827¢
  • bid11.3k26¢
  • bid8525¢
  • bid124¢
  • bid3,84123¢
  • bid46422¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Josh Allen wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 8 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Feb 12, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 14, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLMVP-27-JALL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 145¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago32¢15bought yes
12m ago31¢12bought no
26m ago32¢163bought yes
26m ago32¢135bought yes
52m ago32¢2.98bought yes
57m ago32¢21bought yes
57m ago32¢0.9bought yes
57m ago32¢33bought yes
1h ago31¢0.57bought no
3h ago31¢4.25bought no
3h ago32¢4.08bought yes
4h ago31¢231bought yes
4h ago31¢254bought yes
4h ago31¢184bought yes
4h ago31¢8bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.