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AP Pro Football Regular Season MVP·closes in 15mo

Will Joe Burrow win the MVP?

YES means Joe Burrow

24h volume
10.7k
1.83M lifetime
Open interest
1.36M
+107.0k over 7d
Spread
1¢
477 × 35.3k at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 80¢
24h low 20¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11.5k29¢
  • ask1,52028¢
  • ask11.6k27¢
  • ask60025¢
  • ask11.2k24¢
  • ask14.9k23¢
  • ask16.9k22¢
  • ask35.3k21¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid47720¢
  • bid8,74119¢
  • bid3,93718¢
  • bid4.2417¢
  • bid50716¢
  • bid5,01415¢
  • bid2,22514¢
  • bid9213¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 8 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Feb 12, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 14, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLMVP-27-JBUR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 146¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago21¢400bought yes
13m ago21¢87bought yes
16m ago20¢7.61bought no
17m ago20¢28bought no
47m ago21¢45bought yes
1h ago20¢16bought no
1h ago21¢4.51bought yes
2h ago21¢45bought yes
2h ago21¢113bought yes
2h ago21¢45bought yes
2h ago21¢23bought yes
3h ago20¢37bought no
3h ago20¢0.44bought no
3h ago20¢173bought no
3h ago20¢8.91bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.