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AP Pro Football Regular Season MVP·closes in 15mo

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the MVP?

YES means Jaxon Smith-Njigba

24h volume
7,924
1.68M lifetime
Open interest
1.53M
−3,729 over 24h
Spread
1¢
82.2k × 50.8k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 2:52 AMNov 5, 2:25 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask29¢
  • ask38¢
  • ask37¢
  • ask46¢
  • ask20.0k5¢
  • ask28.1k4¢
  • ask22.4k3¢
  • ask50.8k2¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid82.2k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 8 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Feb 12, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 14, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLMVP-27-JSMI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 146¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago2¢1bought yes
3h ago2¢1,170bought yes
3h ago2¢936bought yes
3h ago2¢234bought yes
4h ago2¢200bought yes
5h ago1¢729bought no
5h ago2¢561bought yes
7h ago2¢468bought yes
9h ago2¢250bought yes
10h ago1¢3,000bought no
20h ago2¢140bought yes
20h ago2¢234bought yes
23h ago2¢0.46bought yes
1d ago2¢47bought yes
1d ago2¢1,170bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.