KXNFLPASSTDSPROT·closes in 3d

Trevor Lawrence: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

YES means Trevor Lawrence: 2+

24h volume
396
410 lifetime
Open interest
406
Spread
2¢
321 × 1,579 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%+8

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 44¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25093¢
  • ask25086¢
  • ask25081¢
  • ask1,00065¢
  • ask2,31064¢
  • ask81063¢
  • ask20059¢
  • ask1,57958¢
spread2¢mid 57¢
  • bid32156¢
  • bid96¢
  • bid15¢
  • bid3004¢
  • bid6043¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Trevor Lawrence records 2+ passing touchdowns in the Jacksonville vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff of the game unless the player records the required number of passing touchdowns, in which case this Contract settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the conclusion of the first half, this Contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Injury, an injury designation, or being ruled out is not required for protection. Participation in a play nullified by penalty counts. Lining up for a play stopped by a penalty before the snap, without participating in a subsequent play, does not count. A player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. This event uses at least full game passing touchdowns including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 2 · 5:23 AM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:15 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:15 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNFLPASSTDSPROT-26NOV05JACBAL-JACTLAWRENCE16-2
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
57m ago58¢75bought yes
3h ago57¢8.51bought yes
4h ago57¢8.51bought yes
5h ago56¢34bought yes
5h ago56¢8.1bought yes
5h ago56¢78bought yes
5h ago56¢3.46bought yes
6h ago56¢17bought yes
6h ago56¢43bought yes
9h ago58¢6.69bought yes
9h ago58¢10bought yes
10h ago58¢0.83bought yes
20h ago58¢89bought yes
20h ago57¢9bought yes
20h ago57¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.