Passing Touchdowns Protected·closes in 6d

Sam Darnold: 3+ passing touchdowns (Protected)

YES means Sam Darnold: 3+

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
33¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4199¢
  • ask2197¢
  • ask25061¢
  • ask25054¢
  • ask25049¢
  • ask10034¢
  • ask10033¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Sam Darnold records 3+ passing touchdowns in the Arizona vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This Contract is designated as protected. If the individual player participates in at least one play during the first half of the game but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including any overtime period, this Contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff of the game unless the player records the required number of passing touchdowns, in which case this Contract settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the conclusion of the first half, this Contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Injury, an injury designation, or being ruled out is not required for protection. Participation in a play nullified by penalty counts. Lining up for a play stopped by a penalty before the snap, without participating in a subsequent play, does not count. A player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. This event uses at least full game passing touchdowns including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Nov 4 · 11:18 AM UTC
    closes
    Nov 10 · 9:25 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 9 · 3:25 AM UTC
    floor
    2.5
    ticker
    KXNFLPASSTDSPROT-26NOV08ARISEA-SEASDARNOLD14-3
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    This event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    This is the only market in its event.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.