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Pro Football Player Receptions·closes in 2d

Tyler Warren: 8+ receptions

YES means Tyler Warren: 8+

24h volume
4,260
4,710 lifetime
Open interest
4,352
Spread
1¢
1 × 693 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 33¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
24h low 9¢24h high 33¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1536¢
  • ask525¢
  • ask38923¢
  • ask8521¢
  • ask60020¢
  • ask30019¢
  • ask25018¢
  • ask69317¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid34514¢
  • bid81313¢
  • bid40111¢
  • bid28¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid83¢
  • bid512¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tyler Warren records 8+ receptions in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to Tyler Warren in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Tyler Warren is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Tyler Warren takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on receptions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 1:16 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNFLREC-26SEP20INDKC-INDTWARREN84-8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
51s ago17¢30bought no
57s ago20¢300bought no
57s ago22¢60bought no
57s ago23¢60bought no
5m ago31¢3.59bought no
5m ago31¢1.41bought no
7m ago32¢15bought yes
9m ago31¢30bought yes
9m ago31¢30bought yes
10m ago31¢7.43bought yes
21m ago31¢308bought yes
29m ago32¢30bought yes
29m ago29¢247bought yes
29m ago28¢17bought yes
29m ago33¢131bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.