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Pro Football Player Receptions·closes in 2d

Tyler Warren: 8+ receptions

YES means Tyler Warren: 8+

24h volume
4,711
4,711 lifetime
Open interest
4,353
+4,353 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1 × 2,397 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 33¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
24h low 9¢24h high 33¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 20, 10:00 AMSep 21, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9,00037¢
  • ask1536¢
  • ask1,10027¢
  • ask1,50026¢
  • ask525¢
  • ask30014¢
  • ask84913¢
  • ask2,17012¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid111¢
  • bid309¢
  • bid28¢
  • bid3006¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid524¢
  • bid2,1083¢
  • bid12¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tyler Warren records 8+ receptions in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to Tyler Warren in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Tyler Warren is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Tyler Warren takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on receptions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 1:16 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNFLREC-26SEP20INDKC-INDTWARREN84-8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35m ago16¢1bought no
43m ago17¢30bought no
43m ago20¢300bought no
43m ago22¢60bought no
43m ago23¢60bought no
47m ago31¢3.59bought no
47m ago31¢1.41bought no
49m ago32¢15bought yes
51m ago31¢30bought yes
51m ago31¢30bought yes
52m ago31¢7.43bought yes
1h ago31¢308bought yes
1h ago32¢30bought yes
1h ago29¢247bought yes
1h ago28¢17bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.