Pro Football Player Receptions·closes in 2d

Tyquan Thornton: 4+ receptions

YES means Tyquan Thornton: 4+

24h volume
6,081
7,959 lifetime
Open interest
4,591
Spread
330 × 1,435 at the touch
24h range
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
42%+35

A YES contract costs 38¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
58%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 38¢
NO bid / ask
62¢ / 64¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tyquan Thornton records 4+ receptions in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to Tyquan Thornton in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Tyquan Thornton is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Tyquan Thornton takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on receptions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 1:16 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNFLREC-26SEP20INDKC-KCTTHORNTON2-4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago42¢695bought no
4m ago49¢300bought no
4m ago51¢30bought no
4m ago50¢14bought no
4m ago53¢35bought yes
6m ago45¢10bought yes
7m ago41¢9bought yes
8m ago36¢30bought yes
8m ago36¢14bought yes
8m ago36¢300bought yes
8m ago36¢101bought yes
8m ago31¢5bought yes
8m ago31¢175bought yes
8m ago30¢473bought no
8m ago25¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.