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Pro Football Player Receptions·closes in 2d

Tyquan Thornton: 4+ receptions

YES means Tyquan Thornton: 4+

24h volume
10.3k
10.8k lifetime
Open interest
6,743
+6,358 over 30d
Spread
1¢
100 × 0 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%+92

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 1¢

YES bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
24h low 6¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 18, 6:00 PMSep 21, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid10099¢
    • bid10084¢
    • bid2575¢
    • bid1870¢
    • bid2065¢
    • bid1662¢
    • bid660¢
    • bid2955¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Tyquan Thornton records 4+ receptions in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The following market refers to Tyquan Thornton in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Tyquan Thornton is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Tyquan Thornton takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on receptions recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 18 · 1:16 AM UTC
    closes
    Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
    floor
    3.5
    ticker
    KXNFLREC-26SEP20INDKC-KCTTHORNTON2-4
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    7m ago99¢118bought no
    22m ago99¢38bought no
    23m ago97¢60bought yes
    23m ago98¢30bought yes
    23m ago99¢1bought yes
    23m ago99¢5bought yes
    23m ago99¢13bought yes
    23m ago99¢3bought yes
    23m ago98¢1bought yes
    23m ago97¢1bought yes
    23m ago95¢10bought yes
    23m ago95¢5bought yes
    23m ago78¢13bought yes
    23m ago78¢60bought yes
    23m ago65¢5bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.