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NFL Retirement·closes in 23mo

Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 2028-29 NFL season?

YES means Before the 2028-29 season

24h volume
0
518 lifetime
Open interest
159
+27 over 90d
Spread
82¢
5 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
70%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
30%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 84¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5699¢
  • ask298¢
spread82¢mid 57¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid215¢
  • bid82¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kirk Cousins announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2028-29 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 28 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 30, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 30, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLRETIRE-KCOUSINS8-2829
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago70¢8.9bought yes
9d ago28¢8.9bought no
9d ago70¢16bought yes
9d ago28¢16bought no
9d ago88¢42bought yes
9d ago28¢42bought no
10d ago88¢17bought yes
10d ago24¢17bought no
10d ago60¢26bought yes
10d ago28¢26bought no
10d ago80¢62bought yes
10d ago24¢62bought no
10d ago80¢8bought yes
10d ago20¢8bought no
1mo ago30¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.