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NFL Retirement·closes in 35mo

Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 2029-30 NFL season?

YES means Before the 2029-30 season

24h volume
0
471 lifetime
Open interest
5.78
Spread
86¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
80%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
20%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 88¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask598¢
spread86¢mid 55¢
  • bid512¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid122¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kirk Cousins announces his retirement from the NFL before the 2029-30 NFL season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NFL season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 28 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 30, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 30, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNFLRETIRE-KCOUSINS8-2930
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago80¢30bought yes
8d ago17¢30bought no
9d ago85¢10bought yes
9d ago16¢10bought no
9d ago12¢30bought no
9d ago11¢15bought no
9d ago11¢5bought no
9d ago85¢5bought yes
9d ago27¢5bought no
9d ago85¢11bought yes
9d ago27¢11bought no
9d ago89¢50bought yes
9d ago13¢50bought no
9d ago85¢20bought yes
9d ago25¢20bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.