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Pro Football Rushing Yards·closes in 2d

Patrick Mahomes: 40+ rushing yards

YES means Patrick Mahomes: 40+

24h volume
8,169
8,261 lifetime
Open interest
7,972
Spread
14¢
1 × 8 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−11

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 97¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2377¢
  • ask8070¢
  • ask2267¢
  • ask10038¢
  • ask1,00033¢
  • ask1,00023¢
  • ask3522¢
  • ask817¢
spread14¢mid 10¢
  • bid13¢
  • bid272¢
  • bid6031¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Patrick Mahomes records 40+ rushing yards in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to Patrick Mahomes in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If Patrick Mahomes is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Patrick Mahomes takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on rushing yards recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 16 · 2:16 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
39.5
ticker
KXNFLRSHYDS-26SEP20INDKC-KCPMAHOMES15-40
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago4¢4.38bought no
17m ago5¢1bought no
34m ago6¢27bought no
1h ago9¢30bought yes
1h ago9¢32bought yes
2h ago10¢4bought yes
2h ago10¢67bought yes
2h ago9¢13bought yes
2h ago10¢36bought yes
2h ago10¢26bought yes
2h ago11¢43bought yes
2h ago12¢1bought yes
2h ago11¢43bought yes
2h ago11¢6.07bought yes
2h ago20¢30bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.