Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
1.07M
1.22M lifetime
Open interest
810.5k
Spread
4,865 × 10.8k at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%33

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 77¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2139¢
  • ask3138¢
  • ask5136¢
  • ask2135¢
  • ask1234¢
  • ask3833¢
  • ask4031¢
  • ask628¢
spreadmid 27¢
  • bid9525¢
  • bid10824¢
  • bid4222¢
  • bid3.3621¢
  • bid3620¢
  • bid9819¢
  • bid25018¢
  • bid17816¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 3.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago24¢1bought yes
1s ago24¢7bought yes
3s ago24¢57bought yes
3s ago24¢3.8bought yes
4s ago25¢34bought yes
5s ago23¢894bought no
5s ago23¢10bought no
5s ago23¢96bought no
6s ago25¢77bought yes
6s ago25¢38bought yes
7s ago25¢380bought yes
10s ago25¢380bought yes
10s ago25¢10bought yes
11s ago25¢300bought yes
12s ago25¢119bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.