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Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
1.58M
1.67M lifetime
Open interest
814.6k
+810.1k over 24h
Spread
4¢
29 × 115 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 84¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%−45

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 91¢
24h low 1¢24h high 84¢
Recent buying38% YES · 62% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 3:51 AMSep 21, 3:49 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,75023¢
  • ask14822¢
  • ask1021¢
  • ask28920¢
  • ask20019¢
  • ask4,50016¢
  • ask6515¢
  • ask12014¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid11.3k13¢
  • bid49912¢
  • bid3.869¢
  • bid4918¢
  • bid627¢
  • bid15.0k6¢
  • bid20.1k5¢
  • bid614¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 3.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago13¢18bought yes
2s ago13¢3.86bought yes
2s ago13¢39bought yes
2s ago13¢6.9bought yes
2s ago13¢1bought yes
2s ago13¢57bought yes
2s ago13¢31bought yes
2s ago13¢39bought yes
2s ago13¢7.75bought yes
3s ago13¢7.25bought yes
4s ago8¢11bought no
4s ago13¢1bought yes
4s ago13¢7.5bought yes
4s ago13¢50bought yes
4s ago13¢39bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.