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Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
1.24M
1.25M lifetime
Open interest
899.0k
Spread
6¢
180 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−37

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 96¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,01014¢
  • ask8,76013¢
  • ask8212¢
  • ask3111¢
  • ask25010¢
  • ask1007¢
  • ask8126¢
  • ask4,7905¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid1004¢
  • bid1,0773¢
  • bid4,2702¢
  • bid2,8131¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 7.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC8
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3s ago7¢10bought yes
3s ago7¢14bought yes
3s ago6¢1bought no
7s ago4¢50bought no
15s ago4¢100bought yes
20s ago3¢135bought no
23s ago4¢16bought yes
23s ago4¢35bought yes
25s ago3¢43bought no
27s ago3¢256bought no
30s ago4¢94bought yes
33s ago4¢881bought yes
41s ago3¢57bought no
51s ago6¢15bought yes
54s ago5¢31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.