Pro Football Wins·closes in 2mo

Will the Miami pro football team win at least 4 games this season?

YES means 4+ wins

24h volume
166
155.8k lifetime
Open interest
90.4k
Spread
1¢
10 × 4.28 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 57¢

YES bid / ask
43¢ / 44¢
NO bid / ask
56¢ / 57¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2560¢
  • ask157¢
  • ask2054¢
  • ask1,11149¢
  • ask91748¢
  • ask8747¢
  • ask1446¢
  • ask4.2844¢
spread1¢mid 43¢
  • bid1043¢
  • bid62042¢
  • bid1.3441¢
  • bid26639¢
  • bid5438¢
  • bid7234¢
  • bid9033¢
  • bid132¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Miami Pro Football team wins at least 4 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 20 · 10:54 PM UTC
closes
Jan 18, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 18, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4
ticker
KXNFLWINS-27MIA-4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago44¢2.38bought no
3h ago44¢3.34bought no
12h ago46¢6.06bought yes
12h ago47¢101bought yes
15h ago45¢8.66bought no
24h ago45¢2bought no
24h ago48¢10bought yes
24h ago49¢7bought yes
24h ago51¢14bought yes
24h ago51¢11bought yes
1d ago44¢1bought no
1d ago43¢10bought no
1d ago47¢850bought yes
1d ago46¢56bought yes
1d ago46¢116bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.